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A weird dad
Why do people believe weird things? The easy answer is: because they are dumb or, more politely, irrational. But one doesn’t need to be particularly intelligent to avoid weird beliefs. And weird...
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Galileo’s voice
A few months ago, in my first tweet, I commented on the just assigned Nobel prize in Economics: Nobel to Fama and Shiller is like cardinal Bellarmine and Galileo sharing the Nobel prize for Physics. A...
View ArticleTrue or False
I don’t just believe, I know – said Arthur Conan Doyle in his impassioned defence of Spiritualism. Beliefs are the result of an evidential tug of war, where none of the two sides manages to prevail on...
View ArticlePopper’s question
As further indication of the muddle surrounding the phrase ‘Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence’, RationalWiki says instead that it is: ‘Absence of evidence, or the failure to observe...
View ArticleHolograms
Here is a perfect example of a conclusive evidence trap. This video poster thinks there is “Conclusive evidence that the 9/11 Planes were NOT REAL” (he writes it in capitals, just in case). He believes...
View ArticleBlinded by magic
It is not what I believe, it is what I know – said Sir Arthur Conan Doyle about the innumerable tricks and hoaxes he was haplessly subject to in the course of his long life. Despite Harry Houdini’s...
View ArticleBack to Hypothesis Testing
The Made in Italy Fund started in May. It is up 7%, with the Italian market down 1%. It is a good time to go back to Hypothesis Testing. We ask ourselves questions and give ourselves answers in...
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